I dont like Ike....

[Captned]

Here I sit, in the cone of death........ Encouraging words anyone? Where is Ang??

Captned

 

[Passages]

Ned,

What are your plans? Are you going to ride this thing out from the safety of a hotel?

 

[Jaxfishgyd]

WE had Fay for 4 days....
New Orleans got hit......
Hanna is going to the Carolinas....
Think it's only fair Ike visits S. Florida.......
Heck, I'm told "South Beach is the place to be..."

Only kidding. I don't wish a storm on anyone.......

 

[Finalee]

Ned,

Get the heck out of there.

 

[thoward]

Well you can keep him! The one thing I liked about Ft Pierce is you could run to safety North, South East or West. Here in Canaveral if it comes from South to Southeast I may have to get in the ICW and ride it out. Our boat yard is already full.

 

[yachtsmanbill]

Just watching this now and it looks like Hanna is picking up but looks pale in comparison to whats behind it. Really looks like a one-two punch in the breadbasket. Hold on guys.
If yer gonna stay with the boats, get some grub and potable water on board. Check the damn battery water and connections, generator oil and filters. Get that genny on warm standby too.
Have a chat with St. Christopher while yer at it. As I said before, my house is open if anyone needs it! ws


http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/satellite.asp?region=car&anim=1&type=ei&basin=atlantic

 

[Angela]

Here I sit, in the cone of death........ Encouraging words anyone? Where is Ang??

Captned

Hi Ned! I'm struggling for an internet connection with the wifi.

I'm packing my ditch bag, taking inventory, moving important things off the boat, and heading for my hurricane hole over the weekend. I stocked up on more of those giant ball fenders and big lines. My boat gets moved to the back of the marina - I've got the spot in the marina where the boats survived Andrews unscathed.

I stopped by the marina office today to go over the plan and see the new pilings and samson posts they put in for me. Jay said everyone was up there asking for my spot - "already taken." I got the U-shaped basin where they used to launch the drystack boats. I've got a 3 or 4 (cant remember) story L-shaped building to my south and east and land to my north. It's very calm back there when it's blowing out on the end of the docks.

If Ike comes as strong as they say, I won't be able to stay on the boat. I'll either head for the restrooms or laundry room with the other liveaboards, or head to a friend's concrete house in South Dade.

What's your plan?

 

[Angela]

Good advice Yachtsmanwillie! I have grub and water, and you forgot....beer and booze. LOL

My batteries are maintained and topped off (I was just down there over the weekend checking everything - good water levels with no boiling), and I've got a crap load of filters for the genny. My tank cleaning guy is coming out on Monday, I think, to suck the sludge out of the bottom of my tank so the genny can stay running - been having a problem with that and I'm going to fix it once and for all. This is why I have a lot of filters - I can change a fuel filter in the dark, half asleep, in under 2 minutes with one hand tied behind my back. You can imagine how how I got that efficient! LOL

And one more thing...I'm going to close all the seacocks after I get in the hole.

Doing all I can to save what we've got. With such an uncertainty, there really isn't anywhere to run, and by the time they can make a decent call on the path, I'm out of time to run - she's no sportfish!

I sure hope I'm not out boat shopping next week.

 

[yachtsmanbill]

"I can change a fuel filter in the dark, half asleep, in under 2 minutes with one hand tied behind my back. You can imagine how how I got that efficient! LOL "

Ahemmm... I was wondering more how you got that hand tied behind yer back!
Did you read the "I dont have gas" thred? I know you were off line for a while, but its kinda pertinent for you!
Get some wire tags and tie them to the wheel about closed sea cocks. Half asleep with the boat washing up on shore you sure dont wanna forget theyre closed. I would also suggest, a bunch of Racor elements and several
1 gallon cans of fuel for priming if necessary! LOTS of flashlights and BATTERIES, really! Oil lamps? (I hate to call them hurricane lamps!) Extra lines ready. Go over all the auto bilge pumps and exercise (exorcise !) the switches and make sure theres no floatsam down there to jam them up either !! Duct tape and the tool box at the ready! Give 'em hell guys and Godspeed! ws

 

[J's Dream]

Ned,

I was having dinner a couple hours ago, and thought to myself...I'm going to start a thread called "I don't like Ike". And lookee here...

I have begun to look beyond the "cone" and now look at the models. The cone is showing whats happening in the middle of the models...and in this case, there seem to be two distinct directions this thing may go.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200809_model.html

I think we may be alright here on FL's East Coast...but only time will tell.

Jason

 

[Pascal]

the media cone of fear is just that... at 5 days, it's meaningless.

the 120 hours foreceast is currently on FTL but that' sgoing to change back and forth so I'm not panicking just yet.

1)- it's unlikely that Ike will remain that strong, it has a small wind field which will spin donw (or back up) quicker than a storm with a larger wind field and shoudl encounter some shear over the next few days.
2)- being a compact storm the damage area will be small, so moving just 40 miles makes a huge difference.
3)- at this stage, the forecast is nothing than an average of both options... recurving out to sea or straight into the florida straight. Way too early to tell...

i dont' like Ike either, but too early to press the panic button. Angela, if you bail out, i'm sure you can stay at Naomi's ...

 

[Genesis]

I don't like the synoptic setup on this one a bit.

THis has all the makings of a Katrina-like - or worse, Andrew-like - experience.

I'm getting more concerned it won't recurve too, but you won't know for another day or two.

Unfortunately.

 

[jim rosenthal]

Seems to me there's plenty to worry about. Not so much up here, but down there...uh oh.

I am going to revise my lines and probably spend the high-tide period on Blue Note. Mostly to watch and make sure there's enough slack for her to ride up if she needs to....I don't think we're going to get a huge surge up here tomorrow, but I have seen eight feet at the dock and no dock showing at all, just the boat and docklines out in the middle of the water.

And I am going to get my G-wagen out of the garage. If I have to drive through water, she'll have the best chance of not stopping in the middle of it.

Good luck to all, and stay in touch...

 

[Captned]

Thanks guys,

Everybodys right, too early to panic, but.... Im off to check the with dockmaster about the slips over by the sea wall, really protected from the SE / E / NE winds by the the Giant Condo building. Plus less chance of being smacked by a runaway boat. Will reserve one for sunday and on... I have 10,000 fenders... The dockhands here collect them for me. A gazillion feet of three strand nylon and three anchors... Welcome back Ang. Still a lot of time to turn, Yoooweee! look at this! pucker time!

 

[Pascal]

since yesterday morning the track has shifted from Nassau to FTL to mid everglades... chances of it recurving are getting smaller.

 

[34Hatt]

Thanks guys,

... I have 10,000 fenders... The dockhands here collect them for me. A gazillion feet of three strand nylon and three anchors...

Yup I have a shed with a bunch of line and old fenders the old ugly ones! People throw them out because they are ugly but if the look half descent I take them. Wife looks at me and says WHAT are going to do with them. I tell her I hope nothing at all but store them

Anyone on a coast should have a plan!
Ang's plan sounds like a good one it helps to be in tight with the marina.


Good Luck to Everyone!!!!!

 

[Genesis]

11 AM update has it raking Miami and the Keys and going into the Gulf.

Heads up folks - this is getting gnarly, and is starting to smell like a Katrina-esque experience.

 

[Pascal]

the 11am has shifter to the left gain, now over the lower/central keys which would put Miami out of the damaging winds. (64kts radius is 30NM righ now, 40NM later on the forecast)

of course, it's still 4 days away and things will change but too early to make a decision on where to go as there is still a chance it could recurve a little early.

I'll gladly take a Katrina, it was minor storm over florida... this one is stronger.

 

[Bertramp]

This is my first in FLA.. ....and I'm in the evacuation zone if it's bad. YIKES !!

 

[yachtsmanbill]

BUMP ws
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/satellite.asp?region=car&anim=1&type=ei&basin=atlantic