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Amazing weekend weather! Perfect Storm?

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OBXTucker

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Should be an interesting weekend along the Atlantic seaboard.
The talk of a potential "Perfect Storm" are beginning to emerge....

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Maybe this is the October supprise. The 1991 "Perfect Storm" was a Halloween storm also.
 
Looking a little scary right now. Last time one went on this track it pushed a WHOLE LOT of water up the Chesapeake. It seems it's the surge that always wrecks things up this way.

May be time to batten things down in Deltaville.
 
I just looked at the 16 day GFS model. The storm is predicted to pass by the Chesapeake well east and offshore. If anything, we may get a lower than normal tide with the north or northeast wind. I remember Isabel quite well. I had 3+ ft of water in my office. That storm passed west of the Bay which pushed the water in.
 
Here in the greater Jacksonville area, we're expecting 40+ winds and heavy gusts and up to 20' seas. Of course, that is the weather forecast and we know how dependable they can be. I want to be a weatherman in my next life....
 
We arrived in Osprey Marina (AICW MM 373) near Myrtle Beach today to take the last 50' slip. Others have already hunkered down. We may do the same for a few days before continuing south.

Bobk
 
I just looked at the 16 day GFS model. The storm is predicted to pass by the Chesapeake well east and offshore. If anything, we may get a lower than normal tide with the north or northeast wind. I remember Isabel quite well. I had 3+ ft of water in my office. That storm passed west of the Bay which pushed the water in.

Eric, I'm not talking about Isabel.....Irene last year. Maybe it wasn't so bad up bay, but we had a big surge in the lower Chesapeake. Granted Sandy won't be as strong, but we had all hell break loose when Ernesto came ashore and that was a tropical depression. Ripped up the Northern Neck worse than Isabel, and the government denied declaring a disaster area. Go figure. Not enough voters I guess. Ernesto's surge is at the bottom. Bigger than Isabel in the southern Bay.
 

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For us, Irene blew the water out of the Bay. We had unusually low tides.
 
Irene surge at Windmill Point. It all depends on the path and speed. They sometimes push water up the bay if slow, but if fast, they can suck water out of the bay. My guess is water was pushed into the lower bay, then the storm moved north and pushed it back out before it had a chance to surge in the upper Bay.
 

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Hauling out tomorrow morning, just in case.
Also having the Outback work done over the next two weeks, so I guess the timing worked out fine for us.
Hopefully going to splash her in two weeks and do some striper fishing the winter.
Be safe everyone!
 
We were in Beaufort, SC the last couple of days, but came back up to Charley town and staying at Riply light marina (across from the mega dock) in a nice little sheltered cove. I guess Monday we will start heading back up to Southport. This is actually a great place to get stuck.
 
We were in Beaufort, SC the last couple of days, but came back up to Charley town and staying at Riply light marina (across from the mega dock) in a nice little sheltered cove. I guess Monday we will start heading back up to Southport. This is actually a great place to get stuck.
Unless they throw you out. The pilings aren't that big there and when we came through before Irene, Ashley was the only one that would let us come in. When we passed the mega dock, there was only one mid 40's boat there. This was 4 days before the storm was supposed to hit. We ended up leaving the next morning and holed up in North Myrtle Beach at Doc Holiday's.
 
Ripley Light did very well in hurricane Hugo. I had a friend ride it out there and he said the damage was minimal.
 
Pate, have a look at NWS's wind predictions. Your area looks better than Myrtle Beach where we are, but not sure about wind protection. Osprey is superb.

Bobk
 
Pate, have a look at NWS's wind predictions. Your area looks better than Myrtle Beach where we are, but not sure about wind protection. Osprey is superb.

Bobk

Yeah I'm glad I'm here instead of Southport. They are expected to get Gust to 55mph. We are expecting 40mph. Charleston is getting 20's right now and we are totally sheltered. I can barely feel the boat moving. I'm glad I'm not on the mega dock. There's no current in here either. What a great spot. We are lucky to be here.
 
Sandy is now 350 miles East of me. We had some winds yesterday/last night but nothing over 32 mph. Picking up some now, had one gust at 36. No rain...yet but it's a coming..
 
Ramping up here in Morehead City, already blowing a steady 20, light drizzle. We have moderate protection from the north via a little island, we are the last slip before the T-Head (floating docks) with no boat to the north of us; the marina avoided putting anyone on the T-Head. I've got about every line deployed. Filled up the water tanks to get a little extra weight. Nobody here pulled as the cone was never aimed at us, nor did the marina ask anyone to leave; quite a few transients here too.
We'll stay on the boat, and besides, it has a generator!

Tonight's and tomorrow's high tides will be interesting, there is a flood warning. The parking lot is about 6 or 7 feet above this morning's 3 foot high tide.
 
I'm stuck in Pa. But my daughter sent pics of my dock is already 2' under water that would make a 3' surge well behind the storm and it's 2 hours till high tide. I think the storm is so big it's piling up massive amounts of water around it
 
Ouch. I hope you don't have any damage. We have 2 foot waves with whitecaps in the canal and im sure the water will be about a foot higher than normal. Considering I'm 40 miles or so from the inlet that's pretty impressive.
 
Vero Beach this AM Tide crested about an hour later half way up my lawn. this is surge 200 mi from the storm.

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