You have got to be kidding

[Scarlett]

The prediction as of today is the hurricane that is coming up the coast from Mexico May be a Cat 2 when it gets to San Diego. Nobody here as any clue as to what to do for a hurricane. This could be an historic event. We rode out a cat 2 cyclone in Fiji many years ago so have some experience. Should be interesting.

 

[Scarlett]

Interesting thing is Windy shows a max gusts of 53 knots sustained around 40 and that includes all the models. So not sure where the tv news reporters are getting their info. Should hit Sunday and Monday. We will see

 

[Pascal]

You can’t look at apps like windy or the local news. The only source to trust in the national hurricane center and their 5 days forecast.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

At this point it looks like it make landfall in Mexico and it will just a depression or weak TS by the Time it will pass near you. Sure the forecast can change a little but I doubt it will be a hurricane by the time it get there let alone a cat 2

 

[Dan Mapes]

All it has to do is change course a little bit and it stays over the water. If it then turns a bit later on, etc. all bets are off. That sort of behavior happens all of the time. The 3AM indicates it is rather strong. It seems to weaken as it moves North so hopefully that is all it takes to weaken it.

Keep an eye on it.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep4+shtml/085912.shtml?cone#contents

 

[Pascal]

Definitely must keep an eye on it. From the NHC discussion:

“In addition, oceanic heat content will be
dropping significantly in 24-36 hours, and it's likely that Hilary's
large wind field will mix up cooler water ahead of the arrival of
the center. This colder water, as well as potential interaction
with the terrain of the Baja California peninsula, is expected to
induce faster weakening over the weekend”

 

[UNIQUE_NAME]

Definitely must keep an eye on it. From the NHC discussion:

“In addition, oceanic heat content will be
dropping significantly in 24-36 hours, and it's likely that Hilary's
large wind field will mix up cooler water ahead of the arrival of
the center. This colder water, as well as potential interaction
with the terrain of the Baja California peninsula, is expected to
induce faster weakening over the weekend”

how do you not chuckle....

 

[Pascal]

Water temps of SD are around 70. Way to cold to sustain hurricane strength especially as it will be close to shore off Mexico further disrupting circulation

 

[Scarlett]

Local wind predictions have already been lowered, May end up being a rain event only. At least the news people had a few sensational stories for a few days.

 

[Pascal]

Also since it s likely to Make landfall in Baja, SD will
Be on the weaker side of the storm.

 

[Scarlett]

Well we survived the hurricane. It did exactly as Pascal said, hit Baja and went down to a tropical storm, lots of rain and not much wind until it passed by then we saw maybe 45 knots for about 5 hours then it was gone. First time ever to have tropical storm warnings in Southern Cal.

 

[Bob Quinn]

Well we survived the hurricane. It did exactly as Pascal said, hit Baja and went down to a tropical storm, lots of rain and not much wind until it passed by then we saw maybe 45 knots for about 5 hours then it was gone. First time ever to have tropical storm warnings in Southern Cal.

Psshhhh, did you really expect Hillary to blow hard?

Be thankful that storm wasn't named Monica!

 

[Scarlett]

Bob that is funny!!