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What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

  • Thread starter Thread starter rsmith
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Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Holy crap even us on the east coast are going to get slammed. We are looking at the worst storm to ever hit our area even though it's coming from the other coast.

Good luck to all in the path. Many will be off the coast but hit harder then they imagined like Helene.
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

The JD said it perfectly. We are in Massachusetts. Didn’t seem like I had enough time to get down and move the boat. Then it slowed down. Now trending more south. If I ran the OWW to the other side wherever we landed we would need to keep running. I know some here don’t agree with this but it makes sense to us. Got the 46 at Riviera Dunes and the MadHatter unfloatable in the yard. They lifted it as high as the could last night and still have it on stands.
 

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Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Looks like Bradenton is still ground 0 hope you guys were right about leaving them at Rivera dunes. Even if you got to Indian town it looks like barely a cat 1 or less there.
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Everyone says once it exits the north side is going to get major flooding and surge. St. John’s river is going to flood. Where is Ralph up there anyone else?
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Distance is key is avoiding damage in a hurricane, it has been my plan for the last 30 years.

Normally as little as 100 miles is enough especially now that the NHC track forecasts have become so accurate. Here is the first first advisory graphic issued on Saturday. The landfall was spot on within 20 miles and while the storm is still 18 hours away that is unlikely to change. Same with Helene… besides the normal wobbling it made landfall as predicted days earlier.

In Florida we are lucky to have the Okeechobee Waterway which allow quick passage from one coast to the other. That alone can reduce winds by 70-90 knots. All with just a one day trip. Add another 60 miles north or south on the other side and you re in the clear.

Depending on the wording of your policy, your insurance may even cover the fuel. Years ago I had to fly to Nantucket to move a 70 footer I used to run because of an incoming hurricane. Moved the boat to Newport, spent a couple of days there and brought the boat back to Nantucket. The owners insurance covered the fuel and the dockage in Newport. Had the owner needed to hire a captain, they would have the covered the cost.

Back in 2017, there were a a few very expensive boats which stayed behind here in coconut grove for Irma. 70-80 newer Biking and Hatteras sport fish as well as big MYs. When I came back after escaping to the Bahamas with an 84, I was not surprised to see them on the bottom or washed ashore. Even though the marinas here were somewhat sheltered by spoil islands, the forecasted 6’ surge topped the islands leaving 0 protection.

Ian is another example. The corps of engineers even extended the lock hours to allow vessels to move across. Yet hundreds of boats were destroyed.

I hate to say this but I really wish insurers would hike deductibles for storm damage instead of jacking up premiums like they do know. Maybe boat owners would think twice about leaving their boats in the path of a major hurricane.
 

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Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

As is the eye will be just south of Riviera Dunes. No wave action in the small protected basin. We will get wind damage. As long as the docks don't float (which they shouldn't on this track) our Hatterases will be beat up but should be floating. I'll call that a win.

Could us a bump to the south for sure.
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Everyone says once it exits the north side is going to get major flooding and surge. St. John’s river is going to flood. Where is Ralph up there anyone else?
So much of the St John's rivers head waters include drainage from central FL (Orlando thru Ocala) and low lands west of Melbourne/Malabar FL.
The river has been flooding since a few days before and after after Helene. Helene produced S & S/W winds that blew the water out just for a few days.
Grounds are still saturated with top water.
N/E winds restrict the outlet of the river @ MayPort and the whole shebang backs up.
Milton will be reinforcing those N/E winds while dumping all that rain in the head waters.
So, No mater where Milton lands, Central Florida still gets the rain and it only has one path to drain, by our house and dock.

Yep, were going to flood. In Satsuma we have already survived 5-6' levels a couple of times, I do expect high waters starting to 8'+ tomorrow morning.
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Everyone's situation is unique... I can replace or repair the boat... my house is more important to me than my boat.... can't replace my family's, kids or my life...

You can go here to watch the storm play out in real time at Riviera Dunes.

SECURITY CAMERAS – Riviera Dunes Marina (rdmarina.com)

Best of luck to all and stay safe!
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Amazing logic (NOT).
When this front hits Florida, the surge will be up to 100 miles wide.

Including you.

Capt -

With all due respect, I'm simply repeating what I've heard on every major weather outlet.

There will be some widespread surge effects for sure, but according to the major meteorological outlets, how much surge that an area receives can be affected significantly by as little as 10-20 miles of landfall.
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

While I'm now boatless, we're riding it out. Our dirt house is behind the inland side of the Edison-Ford estates, and we're 1 house away from being in Zone C instead of B. Yes, 1 house. I have a whole-house generator, our adult kids are evaced from their riverside apartment complex to our house and the dog has been dosed with the first 1/2 xanax. The Admiral's post-Ian PTS is pretty much driving a lot, but she works for a Lee Health ambulatory surgery center (elective surgeries), but Lee Health says if you evacuate and miss a scheduled shift or call-in to another facility you're terminated no appeal. So we are stuck.
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Looks like Cape Coral and Ft Myers maybe dodging a bullet right now but unless Milton makes a sharp turn soon, Tampa bay wont be as lucky.

Current 1600 position marked HU and forecast track past that last official positon. Sharp right turn needed soon.
 

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Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

God bless those, and their treasures, in Milton's path.
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Problems already and the storm has not really hit yet.
Reports of spouts and twisters.

Live cam from Bradenton;

https://www.youtube.com/live/-lyyLzq0X78


 
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Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Distance is key is avoiding damage in a hurricane, it has been my plan for the last 30 years.

Normally as little as 100 miles is enough especially now that the NHC track forecasts have become so accurate. Here is the first first advisory graphic issued on Saturday. The landfall was spot on within 20 miles and while the storm is still 18 hours away that is unlikely to change. Same with Helene… besides the normal wobbling it made landfall as predicted days earlier.

In Florida we are lucky to have the Okeechobee Waterway which allow quick passage from one coast to the other. That alone can reduce winds by 70-90 knots. All with just a one day trip. Add another 60 miles north or south on the other side and you re in the clear.

Depending on the wording of your policy, your insurance may even cover the fuel. Years ago I had to fly to Nantucket to move a 70 footer I used to run because of an incoming hurricane. Moved the boat to Newport, spent a couple of days there and brought the boat back to Nantucket. The owners insurance covered the fuel and the dockage in Newport. Had the owner needed to hire a captain, they would have the covered the cost.

Back in 2017, there were a a few very expensive boats which stayed behind here in coconut grove for Irma. 70-80 newer Biking and Hatteras sport fish as well as big MYs. When I came back after escaping to the Bahamas with an 84, I was not surprised to see them on the bottom or washed ashore. Even though the marinas here were somewhat sheltered by spoil islands, the forecasted 6’ surge topped the islands leaving 0 protection.

Ian is another example. The corps of engineers even extended the lock hours to allow vessels to move across. Yet hundreds of boats were destroyed.

I hate to say this but I really wish insurers would hike deductibles for storm damage instead of jacking up premiums like they do know. Maybe boat owners would think twice about leaving their boats in the path of a major hurricane.

I still think some boats get left in the path of a storm, either from lack of planning, or a deliberate desire to get rid of the boat. I hope I'm wrong.
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Gonna be a long night...
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Mike Slidell is in maderia beach. Not good for him to visit.

Land fall seems to be south of tampa
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

JD... you got that right. It will be another long night for us all on this side of FL

Here in Punta Gorda, we snapped two pilings already. Had 75mph winds out of the south pushing directly on the port side and putting pressure on the starboard pilings. The 100lb anchor we had across the canal didn't hold.

The winds should be starting to drop off soon, but we'll still be contending with the surge. Long way to go until high tide, but the storm is moving pretty quickly - so maybe that will help.

Good luck everyone.
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Good luck JD et al. We've got you in our prayers tonight.
 
Re: What’s everyone’s plan on the west coast Florida?

Zig -

How did you fare??
 

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