So, its 11:40 on Wed evening and here is the NOAA forecast for Eastern Long Island Sound:
ANZ330-302100-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
600 AM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021
TODAY
E winds around 5 kt, becoming S late this morning and
afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
TONIGHT
S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
WED
S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to
3 ft. Chance of showers in the morning, then chance of rain in
the afternoon.
WED NIGHT
S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas
2 to 4 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
THU
W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
5 ft. Showers.
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Thread: Can't depend on NOAA forecast
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05-05-2021 11:43 PM #1Senior Member
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- Apr 2005
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Can't depend on NOAA forecast
Everyone should believe in something - I believe I will go fishing - Henry David Thoreau
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05-06-2021 07:13 AM #2
Re: Can't depend on NOAA forecast
Not sure if the intention is to discuss weather from late March, but I usually reference prog charts on the aviation side https://aviationweather.gov/progchart/sfc for reference on frontal activity.
Perhaps one way to get that forecast would be to be east of a low pressure system moving N to the West of you, with a heavier pressure gradient on the right side. Oscarvan or other pilots could comment further.Mal
Miss Molly
'85 53ED #750
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Re: Can't depend on NOAA forecast
"DON'T BELIEVE ANYTHING YOU READ OR HEAR AND ONLY HALF OF WHAT YOU SEE" - BEN FRANKLIN
Endless Summer
1967 50c 12/71n DDA 525hp
ex Miss Betsy
owners:
Howard P. Miller 1967-1974
Richard F Hull 1974-1976
Robert J. & R.Scott Smith 1976-present
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05-06-2021 08:24 AM #4
Re: Can't depend on NOAA forecast
After decades of looking at these charts I still only understand the basics I learned from Don Weaver in Meteorology 101 in 1983 about the behavior of a warm/cold or occluded front with nothing else around it. When there's lows and highs swirling around each other it gets complicated.
The science however has gotten much better and the forecasters, together with more and more powerful computers, do a pretty decent job these days. So my "Storm Radar" app is it. Unless I go on bigger water which I rarely do anymore and then I go to the marine forecasts.1978 53' Motor Yacht "LADY KAY V"
Hull number 524
Chesapeake Bay
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Re: Can't depend on NOAA forecast
Weather is dynamic and ever changing. Sometimes it's a hard show to follow.
I have been using products from NWS/NOAA for a long time now.
Their forecast and discussions come real close.
Years ago, spent a lot of time buzzing in a 182 between Lantana and Marsh Harbor.
We could always pick up the latest forecast and know what time of day (or not) to cross over.
There are other days when you wonder what planet are they forecasting for.
Then you look at the web pages and try to figure out your self.
The crux of this thread.
I still do better than the local TV people.
My bug is with the TV / local weather people (Jax FL). It is so funny sometimes that they have the same resources that I have, yet try to re-invent the weather wheel and forecast themselves.
Some have their own weather radar systems.
They could improve their weather forecasting so much better just by looking out a window, but hey, they have commercials to sell and air time to fill.
Further humorous, sitting in your car, at a red light, in the rain, on the radio; another breaking news update and weather report,,, No wrecks and clear skies... Right..Last edited by Captain Ralph; 05-06-2021 at 11:25 AM.
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05-06-2021 11:57 AM #6Senior Member
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- Apr 2005
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Re: Can't depend on NOAA forecast
Guys, that's all great. But I just want to read the damn NOAA forecast for today and get today's weather, not the weather from 2 days ago.
Everyone should believe in something - I believe I will go fishing - Henry David Thoreau
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Re: Can't depend on NOAA forecast
Ok... so the issue isn’t the forecast itself but the fact that the website served the old one. That s happened before. Which site did you use ?
Pascal
Miami, FL
1970 53 MY #325 Cummins 6CTAs
2014 26' gaff rigged sloop
2007 Sandbarhopper 13
12' Westphal Cat boat
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05-06-2021 12:31 PM #8
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05-06-2021 12:41 PM #9Senior Member
- Join Date
- Jul 2020
- Posts
- 165
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05-06-2021 02:33 PM #10
Re: Can't depend on NOAA forecast
That looks like a March 30 forecast.
Here is the Greenport noaa link
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...2#.YJQ1ZlMpBSAMal
Miss Molly
'85 53ED #750